“Iran’s High-Stakes Bet on Ceasefire to Save Hamas from Defeat” – Analysis

The UN General Assembly voted for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza. Iran backs Hamas and other Middle Eastern groups to create instability. Iran’s own views on the ceasefire and how the war might end in Gaza are important. Iran’s IRGC media highlights differences between Israel’s PM Netanyahu and the Biden admin. It also shows Israeli concerns that their goals won’t be met in Gaza. Iran is not bragging about Hamas’s success, indicating that they may be gambling on a ceasefire. Iran wanted a wider regional war but has not been able to draw the US or Israel into conflict. Iran is now focusing on a strategic global agenda and less on Gaza, using it for leverage without highlighting the suffering. This is a notable shift in Iran’s narrative.